3 June 2021
The Annual Conference Program -PAC-2021
The cycle is organized by the Center for Foresight Studies (CEP), Faculty of Political and Social Sciences, National University of Cuyo, the Centers for Foresight Studies of CUYO AC. and the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation of Argentine. With the support and collaboration of the Open Network of Foresight and Innovation for Latin America and the Caribbean (CYTED Program) and the World Futures Studies Federation (WFSF).
During five days, to be held between June and October, internationally recognized specialists in the field of foresight will address the methodology for strategic rethinking, the emerging paradigm of post-normal science, the effects of COVID-19 at global level, the scenarios and their relationship with the resilience of the future and the articulation with strategic intelligence.
The opening of the first meeting had the participation of the National Director of Studies of the MINCyT, Vanesa Lowenstein; the director of the Centers for Foresight Studies of Cuyo, Luis Ragno; from the regional vice president of the World Futures Studies Federation, Guillermina Baena Paz and the coordinator of the Open Network for Foresight and Innovation for Latin America and the Caribbean of the Ibero-American Program of Science and Technology for Development, Javier Medina Vásquez. It was moderated by the INTA researcher and co-director of the Center for Foresight Studies, Javier Vitale.
The main dissertation was given by Professor Rafael Ramírez, director of the Oxford Scenarios Program and academic director of the Strategy Laboratory of the same University, who presented the scenario planning methodology. Ramírez is one of the world’s leading experts in scenario planning. As a researcher and advisor, he worked extensively with NGOs, corporations, intergovernmental organizations, governments, and think tanks. He has a Ph.D. from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania and an MA from the University of York in Toronto and Oxford. Before coming to Oxford, he was part of Shell’s stage team and was a professor of management at HEC in Paris. https://youtu.be/l4M2DPrc3wY
The next session of the cycle will be held on Wednesday June 23 and is entitled “Post-normal science as an epistemological and practical foundation for future studies.” It will be in charge of Lucrecia Wagner (Argentina) and Silvio Funtowicz (Argentina / Italy) and will be broadcast on the CEP YouTube channel. Participation is free, but requires prior registration. https://youtu.be/POBpPSTisiA
March, 24, 2021
The Regional Vice-Presidency of Latin America of the WFSF organized the Fifth Gathering with the purpose of discussing and exchanging ideas and concepts on “THE REVOLUTION WE WILL MAKE”.
Key points that emerged from the brainstorming on these aspects are in the below English language summary.
February 11, 2021
The Regional Vice-Presidency of Latin America of the WFSF organized the Fourth Gathering with the purpose of discussing and exchanging ideas and concepts on “THE DECOLONIZATION OF THE PROSPECTIVE”.
With the participation of about 50 attendees from many countries in the region: Colombia, Argentina, Ecuador, Uruguay, Paraguay, Mexico, and Peru.
It is time to give a new direction to ideas with creative forces because we as people, as a region, have lived with colonized futures.
We emphasized four key points:
- Importance of the knowledge of our cultures. We import knowledge from the north, knowledge based on fashion thus colonizes us, and we have not considered how our ancestors saw the future.
- We have wasted knowledge. We have a lot of knowledge but we do not learn from the knowledge we have.
- There are problems with the translation of the word prospective: foresight, futures studies, deep sight.
- How do we face the prospect of resource scarcity?
Key points that emerged from the brainstorming on these aspects are in the attached synthesis
October 23, 2020
The Regional Vice-Presidency of Latin America of the WFSF organized the Third Gathering with the purpose of discussing and exchanging ideas and concepts on “The postcovid in times of confusion. Demands and needs in Latin America”.
The meeting took place on Friday, October 23 at 2:00 p.m. (COL., MX., PE.); 3:00 p.m. (BOWL.); 16:00 hs. (CLE., UR., ARG.) By ZOOM.
The call invited everyone to attend, as their contribution will be very important and will help build collective agreements for the future of Latin American prospects.
Participants from the following countries were present: Colombia, Argentina, Mexico, Peru, Uruguay, Ecuador, Bolivia, Chile, Panama.
Three round tables were held and the main points are summarized in the following reflections:
• We have to focus on what happens now to know how we handle the future.
• There was general agreement on existing and upcoming mental health problems. A great challenge is mental health due to individual and collective fragmentation, the hunger of the skin, the need for greater promotion of self-care and resilience at all levels. A strong burn out, somatizations and addictions and a greater increase in existing stress are coming.
• There are changes in human behavior that lead to individualism and to us becoming more insensitive towards others. The more information, the more loneliness.
• The threat of climate change is still in line, there will be a crisis for global warming.
• These problems are compounded by the political situation in many of our countries in the region, an exhaustion in Bolivia after the political crisis and a slight refreshing hope with the recent elections.
• We know that reality is no longer going to be the same as we knew it, so we need to adapt to this moment in history since there is no return, we are facing a watershed that many still do not understand, we must change our mental models with governments for medium and long-term exchanges
• The mindset of decision makers must change.
• We need greater collaboration among all of us, to share strategies; we will need international cooperation from different economic areas, international trade, and migration. Health, employment and education are crucial problems, an education that addresses emotional imbalances with new tools and anticipatory skills, resilient to adversity. An education by learning activities
• We also require an Agenda and an ethical platform that unites us as a region with a Latin American vision based on a set of values.
• But we have to reach a consensus on when tomorrow will be after tomorrow, to start that new world, with a vaccine, with the customs with the risks of a current society. Generate synergies, agreements, bases, commitments, and network.
• A mobile application is proposed that allows the person to be diagnosed emotionally, mentally and physically, as well as. a mental health booster. People are going to be scattered, without knowing what to do if they lock themselves in again, go out, or what to do.
• We are facing human realities that we did not see, we must learn to live with the virus and in this new era based on chaos with more holistic views.
• A reconnection with nature is urgent in the face of the global warming crisis.
• We have seen how society was reduced to the home where schools, the economy, work, the crises of relationships, intimacy, empowerment and even innovation in the search for solutions converged. They are the microscenarios of our daily life.
Coordinaron: Guillermina Baena, Lucio Henao y Javier Vitale
LATIN AMERICA VISION: Gathering September 11, 2020
We organized a Gathering September 11, with the purpose of sharing the status of the activities that our organizations and networks have been carrying out, and agreeing on joint activities for the remainder of the year. The motto is what are we doing and what are we going to do to transform Latin America? These were the conclusions:
At the session, twenty-three people from seven countries participated, with the presence and message of President of the World Futures Studies Federation, Dr. Erik Øverland
The meeting was divided into three classrooms that worked with a coordinator and then closed in plenary with the following conclusions.
– To work together with the WFSF on a global level. Have a clear purpose as a Federation and as prospectivists. Being a member of a network does not only imply benefits; people are afraid of the future, love of short-termism, you have to work hard.
– It is essential to have an impact on the school, children, and society.
– It is our responsibility to bring prospective studies to decision-makers. The dissemination of our material is essential. It should reach decision-makers and influences education.
– The Federation must guide prospective studies and seek their certification.
– The Latin American region must build a more articulated, situated, and differentiated contribution than other areas.
– For this, it is essential to integrate the convergence of knowledge, communities, and sectors.
– There is a need for new organizations, including sectoral ones, such as development around the health sector.
– The dissemination of prospective and futures studies must be expanded.
– It is necessary to raise the interest of the new generations in foresight.
– More spaces for dialogue to talk are very significant. “Leave the window open.”
– There is a great variety of expertise in foresight throughout the region. Although foreign models continue to be used, we have many practices that can become contextualized for the area.
– There was some great acceptance for this meeting in the region. We need these spaces at least every month.
– A prospective analysis of the prospective is necessary to avoid bias
– It is essential to do educational research to measure future impacts on current students about how their lives have been changed
– We require greater dissemination of prospective studies and best practices.
The following suggestions were given.
– Organize a Latin American Foresight Forum with the most significant experiences. It can even be in English to become disseminated more widely.
– Edit a Latin American prospective magazine.
– Generate regional communication strategies of the prospective.
– Use existing pages for the dissemination and promotion of events, such as the Prospective Studies Seminar at UNAM, Mexico City, which has free of charge material since 2004, books, Notebooks, Specific Series of Working Papers, conferences, events, international videoconferences and presentations.
– We can integrate an inventory with the materials, studies, and resources that we have in the Latin American region with contributions from what Latin American prospectivists have gathered and produced.
– Generate a Latin American interconnection network to position ourselves and make ourselves visible in the world with more significant spaces for dialogue.
– Foresight has to be a tool for transformation.
– It can become a substantial social burden, with awareness of what surrounds us, we are not alone, we are an interconnected system, and we have to think about a future that is not immediate.
See also: WFSF World Conference 2019 https://www.wfsfconferencemexico.org/